Heat Advisory Duration
Posted:
                    RAGBRAI rolls from Ames and Des Moines today and the warmest 
weather of the trip across Iowa so far is forecast.  Polk County (Des Moines) is under a Heat Advisory 
from noon to 8 PM.  The featured chart takes a look at the duration of heat advisories for the county 
based on an archive of advisories back to 2005.  These advisories can be extended in time, cancelled 
early, or upgraded to an Excessive Heat Warning.  So the chart shows a cumulative distribution function 
for the initial issuance and final issuance duration.  An eight hour advisory is about average for a 
duration, but some events can certainly last much longer.  Today's advisory will likely depend on what 
happens with the morning storms over northern Iowa and how soon skies will clear out during late 
morning and early evening.  Sometimes rain and clouds can persist for longer than expected and cut 
down on the high end heat, so hopefully that can happen today for all the poor bicycle riders who may 
only be joining the route to journey into Des Moines.
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