The featured map displays IEM computed unofficial precipitation total ranks for April by
climate district. For Iowa, April was a bit on the dry side with the driest portion of the state
being the southeastern corner. For the Midwest, the contrast was between the far
southeastern and northwestern portion. Our stretch of dry weather that we ended April with
looks to come to an end with numerous chances of showers and thunderstorms in the
coming week.
Heavy rainfall and severe weather have been noticeably absent from Iowa so far this
spring. One reason for that has been the lack of really moist air that help to drive both
aforementioned phenomena. The featured chart displays the daily maximum dew point
temperatures reported by the Ames Airport weather station. The 60 degree level was
finally reached on Sunday for the first time this year.
The featured map displays NOAA MRMS "Q3" precipitation estimates for Monday. The
map shows a lot of variability over the state and even within counties with the amount of
rainfall received. The typical thunderstorm is smaller in horizontal size than an Iowa
county, so their exact track can lead to large differences in precipitation over a single
county. The hope is that over long enough time periods, these individual thunderstorms
start to even out totals over a county but that is not always the case.
The USDA updated corn planting progress valid for 3 May shows that Iowa farmers had a
very productive last week with 54% of the projected corn acres getting planted over the
past seven days. The featured chart displays the percentage of acres planted over the
seven day analysis periods for each year since 1979. The highest weekly total is shown on
the left hand side of the chart. This analysis would indicate that it is common for such a
high percentage of acres to get planted within one week. Progress this week has slowed
considerably with numerous rounds of rain.
The featured chart displays the daily climatology of growing degree days for Ames along
with the actual values (dots) for this year. We have seen plenty of above average days this
spring with each day so far this May above average. Our average daily accumulations this
time of year are half of what we can expect during the warmest time of the year. Having
warm over night low temperatures makes a big difference with the computation of this
value.
The weather does not get much more active than what the US will experience this weekend.
The featured image presents the Friday morning issued outlooks for Friday, Saturday, and
Sunday by the Storm Prediction Center. The highest chances of severe weather for Iowa
will be on Sunday. Meanwhile, heavy snowfall is expected over the eastern Rockies and
there is a sub-tropical storm named Ana off the southeastern US coast. Something for
everybody this weekend!
The featured chart looks at the distribution and contribution of daily precipitation to the
year to date total of days with precipitation and total precipitation. The daily values are
binned into groups that, on average, provide equal yearly totals of precipitation. For Ames,
while the heaviest bin has yet to see an event, the second highest bin has seen double of
the average number of events.
Monday was a chilly and windy departure from the near summer like weather we have
recently been experiencing in May. The high and low temperature were both the coldest so
far this month for many sites in the state. The featured chart looks at the frequency of a
given May day being the coldest for the month. Having the 11th be the coldest day is not
out of the ordinary and the chart would indicate that perhaps our coldest weather of the
month is now behind us!
The featured chart presents a time series of air temperature for the Des Moines Airport
since the first of April. Our recent few days of chilly weather was some of the limited time
we have spent with a temperature below the daily average low temperature as depicted by
the blue bars. The forecast has rain returning today with thunderstorm chances for the
weekend.
The IEM generates a nationwide composite of NWS RADAR information going back to
1995. The featured image presents that composite for Iowa for each 7 AM on 14 May
going back to 1995. The widespread rain this morning is only matched in RADAR
presentation by the same time in 1996. You can generate this image online and for an
area/time of your choice.
The featured map displays the number of hourly observations on Thursday that contained
measurable precipitation reports. For many locations in the state, the rain lasted for much
of the day yesterday. More rain is in the forecast for this weekend along with chances for
severe weather.
Early Sunday morning, the Des Moines NWS Office issued a few tornado warnings during
the 3 and 4 AM hour. The featured chart looks at the frequency of issuing tornado
warnings by the office by hour of the day. As one may suspect, tornado warnings are
rather rare at that hour, but the overall minimum is a bit later in the morning. The vast
majority of warnings are issued in the late afternoon and evening hours as strong
thunderstorms need the heating of the sun to drive instability in the atmosphere. You can
generate this plot online and you may wish to compare this plot with one from a gulf coast
forecast office, like Mobile.
While there have been numerous rounds of rain this May in the state, the events have not
been too widespread which has allowed corn planting progress to proceed at a good clip.
The featured map shows updated estimates from the USDA of percentage of corn acres
planted in the state. Only Kansas is shown behind long term average as they have had
many significant rain events this spring.
Really warm weather has been difficult to come by so far this spring season. The featured
map displays the year to date maximum temperature percentiles. A percentile of 100 would
mean the maximum temperature this year for the station was warmer than any other year
since 1951. Most of the values in the state are well below 50, which is an indication of cool
temperatures. Today will be another very cold day, but warmer weather returns tomorrow
with highs only in the 70s though.
For Ames, the high temperature on Wednesday was only able to reach 50 degrees. The
featured chart shows the daily high and low temperatures so far this month along with the
daily climatology. Having a high temperature of 50 on 20 May is even cooler than the
average low temperature for the date!
The featured map shows locations that have recently reported temperatures below 36, 32,
and 29 degrees this week from the Iowa COOP Network. The coldest temperatures
avoided Iowa, but some low laying areas in the state likely saw a bit of frost this week. This
weekend is the unofficial start of summer, so hopefully these near freezing temperatures
are not returning until later this fall. The near term forecast has a return to more typical
temperatures for this time of year along with chances of rain.
The big weather story in the US is the ongoing historic flooding in Texas and Oklahoma. A
number of locations in the area have sent monthly precipitation records and there is more
rain in the forecast today. The featured chart looks at the number of flash flood warnings
issued by the Norman (Oklahoma City), Oklahoma NWS Office. This year's total dwafts
other years for the year to date period. For the entire year, this year is only behind 1995
and 1999.
While not a complete washout, there were showers and thunderstorms this past Memorial
Day weekend. The featured map displays four day total estimates from NCEP. Most of the
eastern half of Iowa is analyzed to have received over an inch with lower totals in the west.
Stronger thunderstorms on Monday evening dropped isolated higher totals over northern
Iowa. More rainfall is in the forecast later this week.
Very warm temperatures have been difficult to come by so far this season. Places like Des
Moines have yet to see a 90 degree temperature. The featured chart looks at the date of
first 90+ degree temperature of the year and the number of days that year at or above 90.
The red line shows the cumulative frequency of first date and the mid point of the line
(average first date) is still a week away, so not hitting 90 yet is not abnormal.
The unofficial period of summer is considered to be the days between Memorial Day and
Labor Day. If you consider summer to be the 91 (quarter of the year) warmest day period
of the year then the featured chart shows you when this period started for each of the past
years for Ames. This analysis would indicate that we have, on average, just over a week
left of spring before summer starts. The near term forecast would indicate that as well with
pleasant temperatures for the next week.
While overall precipitation totals this month have not been too impressive, the number of
hours on which it has rained has been much above long term average as shown by the
featured chart. The chart shows the number of precipitation hours this year and a long
term monthly average based on available archive of observations. You can generate this
chart on the website for a year and observation site of your choice.